i think not, the factors that affects the downtrend are different from the past years, even months. today, the market fluctuates like crazy. there are more factors that contributes to the volatility of bitcoin's market price. one is issues about some fake exchanges which could double in the next coming months, more and more bogus exchanges could harm bitcoin trust factor, another is more and more coins are being introduced in the market that tightens up the competition in the market. but to be positive, let us all hope that bitcoin will still survive this negative factors.