I am neither a bear nor a bull but wish to arrive at a realistic likelihood of various outcomes. ....

There are 3 main ways to view the future.

1.  BTC will aways be the leading digital money, increase dominance, and large returns are still possible.

2. Technical failure or crippling of some sort (low probabilty, but still possible)

3. Another crypocurrecy ascends to dominance.


I would put odds of perhaps 10% on #2, and 45% on each of #1 and 3.


Price targets for 2021 for :

#1  30k

#2   sub-1k

#3   8k


Conclusion... good odds of positive ROI from current level.