~snip
Thats the most likely scenario but we cannot know beforehand if there will be some major event around that time that will draw the price down.
probably will be a very good investment looking long term ( ~2 years.. with this information)
2 years is not long-term, it is mid-term at most.
I think long-term expectations have to based not only on the scarcity of bitcoin and its non-inflationary nature, but also on how useful it is going to be as a peer-to-peer cash system and/or as a store of wealth.