Post
Topic
Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER Speculation Thread
by
Lloydie
on 21/01/2014, 04:17:48 UTC
144 blocks per day
52560 blocks per year
1314000 BTC per year

The blocks have been mined at a substantially faster rate than the ideal of 6 blocks per hour. I think the average is more like 7.5 blocks per hour, which pencils out to 65,700 blocks per year and 1,642,500 btc per year.

Using the 2.5% to 25% range, I get 0.10 to 1.02 bitcoins per share in potential mining revenue.
Brilliant analysis guys.  So, if someone bought at 0.3 they would almost be guaranteeing themselves a 30% to a 300% payoff?  That is a really good return, IMHO.  Should have done the maths a few weeks earlier!

Anyway, I don't believe AM cannot mine 400,000 Btc over its lifetime from this point forward, which implies min of 1 Btc per share. Also, I can't see AM stopping at 2.5% of network with the most energy efficient chips (and possibly cheapest chips).  I can't see AM stopping at anything less than 40% of network assuming the most energy efficient chips (unless they are selling chips at a higher margin compared to mining.  Either way AM wins).