Well, since the market seems to be relying on bitcoin's status, then you can somehow check bitcoin's history and check every final quarter if how it looks like. I think, all, if not majority of occasions that bitcoin has its price rising.
No, I dont think so because if you look the previous year bump in the price at the end of the year, the reason was that the demand for bitcoin was very high and this year the situation is completely different. Nobody is buying bitcoin and when there is no investment, the price will never go up. In my view the current price will remain till the end of the year and will not grow as it is assumed.