Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
JayJuanGee
on 15/10/2018, 23:21:09 UTC



BTC’s price will be:  First column in 2-3 years    Second column in 6-7 years

Below $1k =             Less than 3%      Less than 1.5%

$1k to $3k =              8% to 12%              7% to 9%

$3k to $5k =             10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$5k to $10k =              10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$10k to $19k =              15% to 18%      12% to 15%

$19k to $30k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$30k to $50k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$50k to $100k =             12% to 15%      15% to 18%

$100k to $500k =              5% to 10%      10% to 15%

$500k to $1mill =              2% to 4%      10% to 15%

More than $1mill =             Less than 1%      Less than 5%


...we cannot rule out extremely bearish or extremely bullish scenarios, even though the probabilities seem to be on a kind of upwardly skewed bell curve.



wow this is amazing. So the price is going to be between 1000$ and 1 Million $. Nice guess....

Actually, TReano, you did not even summarize the predictions accurately, because I assigned probabilities to prices below $1k and above $1million, but I did not believe it would be necessary, at this time, to specify in more detail in the outside of the range.

Anyhow, that's how predicting the future works.  If you are attempting to be honest with yourself, then you assign probabilities to the future that are between 0% and 100% rather than asserting absolutism that merely simplifies without really providing guidance - beyond gambling.

Maybe I should not ask a troll/shill a question, but I will bite just to press my luck that you might provide a meaningful answer (low probability bet, but what the heck)... Here we go:   What is your system of predicting the future BTC price, TReano?    time frame of 2-3 years and 6-7 years?