Nothing is ever guaranteed, but I've gradually been increasing my holdings as the year's progressed, slowly bringing my dollar average down. Recovery back to levels at the beginning of the year would need a minimum of 5x on the coins I held then (some less, most more), but with the extra money put in, I am now positioned to take profits on some of them with smaller rises. Bounty campaigns are even more risky, it is not just about the overall market rising anymore, investors have become more savvy (and rightly so), it's not going to be like last year when almost every project hit the exchanges at multiple times the initial value. You have to be very careful which projects you choose to spend either time or money on.