I think the opposite is that SC is more likely to drop before hard fork and then increase after hard fork completes.
Because people will try to force prices to buy more SC at cheap prices.
I guess the price is 60 ~ 80 sats for SC.
I have the same impression. Someone really wants to pump the price before a hard fork. It is not known whether a hard fork will succeed (It may be similar to the Ethereum hard fork situation and delay by a few months ..), so if something will be wrong it is possible that a after hard fork the price may fall heavily.