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Just this week I was going over this question on a PM basis, and I drew up some summarized information from a global perspective on the gap between the moment you publish a post, and the moment it receives sMerit. This is a summary:
- 56% of sMerit TXs go to posts created within 24h (13,73% within the first hour, 10,05% within the second hour, and so on).
- 8,09% of sMerit TXs merit posts on the second day.
- 4,38% of sMerit TXs merit posts on the third day.
- 2,79% of sMerit TXs merit posts on the fourth day.
- 2,10% of sMerit TXs merit posts on the fifth day.
- 1,78% of sMerit TXs merit posts on the sixth day.
- 1,34% of sMerit TXs merit posts on the seventh day.
- 5,61% of sMerit TXs merit posts during the second week.
- 3,05% of sMerit TXs merit posts during the third week.
- 2,03% of sMerit TXs merit posts during the fourth week.
- 12,33% of sMerit TXs merit posts after fourth weeks (likely outliers related to posts by @Theymos, @Satoshi, merit abuse cover-ups, and so on).
The information above is derived from a post I created at the end of May 2018 (see
Forum Merited Messages- Does size count?). Things may have shifted a bit since then, but it does give us a reference to what you were talking about.
Yes, your statistics confirm my words. And if we look at "sMerit TXs merit posts after fourth weeks" we can see a fairly large percentage. Analyzing your data, the question may arise: why do the numbers go from larger to smaller and again to larger? I think this is due to the emergence of a huge number of new topics. Few people go further than the first page to participate in the discussion. Many folks open the newly created topic, in which there are still not many replies (thus increasing the chance that their message will be noticed) and discuss it there. After 2-3 days, and even more so a week, such one-day threads are lost and replaced with new ones.
But there`re also more serious discussions that last not a day or two, and in which you can find many worthy posts. Most often, such topics are joined by high rank members of the forum. Sometimes there`s a pause in such a discourse, but if the topic is relevant and of current interest, the dialogue continues, sowing the field to get more merits.