So you don't really believe what you say? Nut up and support your words with actions. Put your money where your mouth is.
There is a difference between what I think will happen and what I am willing to wager will happen... Sometimes I think the Washington Generals will finally pull out a win but I wouldn't wager on it!!!!!!!
30 or I'll pass thanks.
I get it, you don't really believe what you say.

Oh horse shit, it's an unpredictable future event. Just because I won't bet you on it doesn't mean I don't think it will happen, odds matter.
Give me 2 to 1 odds and I will take the 35 seat bet!!!
Hey, you are the one that made the statement not me. All I did was call your bluff and put money down. I won't give you 2 to 1 odds, but I will raise it to 0.02 if you like

And you've claimed that the left is running in wild numbers to the right, why don't we bet on the republicans keeping control of the house? Or don't you believe what you say??