Everyone has the same logic. If dollar goes down and the devalued then bitcoin will be higher. However, they are all missing out on the point of what economic recession does to a population. If you do not have any means to survive and have a life or live paycheck to paycheck I can promise you that you will not be looking at your bitcoin wallet and think how rich you are and just be happy with it, you will sell it to give yourself a break.
it is interesting to see how many people think this way!
but that's not how it works. in an economic recession when your fiat is tanking and losing its value, you desperately look for "ways" of storing your value so that your purchasing power doesn't suddenly evaporate.
how about when
everything is losing value? that's usually what happens in a financial crisis / major recession. the entire economy contracts. it's not just fiat tanking in a recession.
in fact, fiat will often perform better than many assets during recessions, barring a hyperinflation scenario. the USD actually bottomed very quickly in early 2008 (
before the collapse of bear stearns) and never went back to those lows ever again. gold dumped most of that year. the real estate and stock markets were hit much harder.
anything is possible, but on average, everything will lose value and the highest risk assets will lose the most value. bitcoin is a very high risk investment from any conventional investment perspective, so i'd expect BTC to fall with the rest of the market.
i have serious doubts that we're entering a major recession yet though.