I think it will go at least 5x. Why do you think it will not succeed so much?
Anything less than 10x you might as well stake the tokens and chase the yields. If it matches the daily volumes of an exchange like BitMart (#21 in volume) your investment will breakeven within a year. Binance volumes would be a month. Hard to believe such a hyped exchange won't make it into the top 20 in volume. Either way I plan to stake my NEX. The potential returns are insane when you compare to non-crypto yields. NEX is a Fiat gateway that is focusing on being user friendly to attract the masses and compliant with regulations, hence the ICO delay. Huge potential in my humble opinion.