Since you made your own some analyzations, then so be it. I can't see it as FUD too because that's your own view. No way others can changed your point of view.

But let's make your speculation into something fun.

Want to bet a little BTC0.01 against me? If Bitcoin price will reached below $5,500 10 days from now (Nov. , you won. If not, I won. Let's put in escrow. Backup your stand if you are really sure on that. You can silenced all your critics once it happened. I will wait for your answer.