Thank you for your efforts in coming up with this analysis.
I don't know if I should agree or disagree with you because in the past weeks (or even months), no one seems to be getting the prediction right anymore. The bearish market is making everyone look like noobs in the cryptospace. Technical analysis are good but it's still basically influenced by fundamental analysis.
Good analysis all the same. Let's hope that the market will agree with you on this in the coming weeks.
You are right there dude,no one gets right since the bear covers the whole market..
And sad to say but only those fud seems to become more reliable as they can predict the dropping of the prices while the positive predictions eaten by this negativity.
Thats why the best option is to hold and keep patient