Educated guesses based on "research" and TA are still guesses; you are either right or wrong.

The thing with trading is that most of these chart folks always have an excuse to fall back on. If they guess right it's their wonderful analysis that made them a good bit of profits, and when they are wrong it's suddenly an 'unexpected' event having made sure that their analysis didn't match. The funniest part is that you can't even blame them for their excuses because markets as speculative as the crypto market can change in an instant.

Common sense is what matters here, and it tells me that people should refrain from messing with current market for short term gains, but solely accumulate for the next leg up.