I believe they're predicting based on technical factors, therefore
their predictions are "lagging". The trend of the market is pointing down at the moment, so they "predict" a continuation of the downtrend, ignoring the fundamental factors.
If XRP goes to 3$, corrects with a fall to 2$, then goes to 5$ and corrects with a fall to 4$, they'll accept XRP is in an uptrend and they'll change their "predictions" to reflect that...
when the price will have already gone 10 times up!all that can happen.
see xrp is a coin that has a large enough interest.
they are also the owners of large assets, so they will be able to make xrp to 4 $ or even more.