Has anyone else developed a model for valuing Bitcoin? What number did you reach?
Context: I believe Bitcoin is currently overvalued by around $500. I have been playing with some valuation models recently (have a quant/finance background) and have been measuring relationships between wallet growth, tx info like volume and fees, and transaction velocity against social sentiment over time, which got me to a "true" value of ~$5812. This isn't exactly speculation, but it's not baseless either so I'm interested in how you guys have approached the problem.
It doesn't make sense to calculate it. We need to take a look at what bitcoin is. Bitcoin, decentralized and P2P money for a payment purpose. And the value is designed to balance the market conditions. So if you want to see its current value, I suggest you take a look at the crypto money exchanges. You can see the price formed by supply-demand balance in the market conditions. If you are afraid of the manipulation of the exchanges, you can have a look at the decentralized exchanges.