I can hardly see why you would draw up a statistic just to disprove it.
As you have argued and proven, merit is not a lottery and everyone has an equal chance if getting it.
Luckily, getting merit is not like a lottery jackpot because it could be given anytime to those users that has shown unique and constructive posting skills
Well maybe not too equal, other members are naturally skeptical about new members and they would not automatically rain merits on you, and you have to gain acceptance gradually, like in every community.
I have noticed that the higher you go the more freely and generously other members merit you. As your intention on the forum would have become well defined.
New users should also approach the forum with similar skepticism, this is an online platform and everyone has an opinion.
Analyse all the contents available here and filter out those that are not beneficial to you.
I'm happy and I think the merit system is the best thing to happen to this forum period. Its not perfect by a long stretch but its done more good than harm.
I would argue that the trust system is a better addition. And has more practical use on the forum.