Thanks. Looks to me like jutarul pulled that number out of thin air but he does know better than any of us non-board members. Either way I think if enough people bug FC he will give us an update even if it doesn't include any real progress.
It's not pulled out of thin air, it's another deadline which FC committed to (actually it's 31-Jan), so I expect some update coming from him around that date. Otherwise the board obviously has to inquire about the delay (and do something about it).