It's like pulling a dime and waiting for heads or tails - you have 50% chance in both situations.
In this way and not exposing you as you did before, you gave two opposite analyzes and with the same probability of success, so in both cases you will be right! .....
Not exactly - as you can see, OP left carte blanche to the market only for the short term. For the long term he still keeps his unfavorable view on Bitcoin and crypto markets in general - still insisting on the long term BTC crash to 4k or even sub-1k. Quite
stubborn guy, I would say

Rather than using the word, "stubborn", perhaps "filled with hopium" might be a better description....?

You guys are laughing and mocking OP, but oddly enough you're all still watching what he has to say.
Well, as to me, I am not laughing or mocking (never did), just sometimes express my disagreement with few points, and some suspicions on the intentions. But as to the rest - yep, still following. It is always interesting to see what a smart and educated person has to say... even if you don't fully share his viewpoint and opinion

Seems that I largely agree with your response Drays... and I would just supplement your points by asserting that a thread like this (35 pages long, by the way), can take some life of its own after being in existence for nearly 11 months, and a response to OP in February or March would likely be different from a response today, and furthermore, OP might appreciate the extent to which what s/he asserted then has played out or not, and whether there may have been some combination of luck in whatever assertion was then made that is subsequently more clear based on some hindsight.
By the way, we know in bitcoinlandia, there are all kinds of supposed experts who had been proclaiming the downfall of bitcoin since 2015 based on supposed technical analysis expertise, and surely at some point they will end up being correct, especially if they keep asserting some variation of the same thing over and over.