Is it correct to assume that when mtgox users get their refund next summer and sell their bitcoins, then the price of bitcoin could get its biggest drop in its history?
Why would MT Gox coin recipients sell their BTC if the BTC price has already been going down? Shouldn't they wait for the BTC price to go back up before they sell?
Likely your presumption(s) have not been sufficiently fleshed out to actually understand either BTC dynamics or BTC HODLer behaviors.