I think yes, we should need to analyse and consider all the possible things to happen, but this time its hard to analyse what would be next to market because most of the time the value of all coins are decreasing.
It is not the first time analysis on crypto currencies became hard for people to conduct on. To be honest, I don't actually think those analysis actually work. The crypto market is totally unpredictable. There is no way to know when the price will rise or end up crashing badly. All we can do is make some wild guess. Look at the price now. No one predicted this recently fall and no one can correctly tell us when the price will rise back.