Re: Time Series on monthly statistics of forum (new users, new topics, new posts)
More pointless data that no one cares about. Just another piece of shit fishing for merit by making some graphs.
Hey dude,At first, you should look at your post history, before trolling me like this.
It is too ridiculous when a guy with so many one-lined threads criticized me on how to make constructive threads/ topics.
At least, it give me a hint on potential things that can happened.
Your are right, because I can not go to any causal inference with such limited data with only three variables (all of them are independent variables), without appropriate independent variables.
I'll praised you that you gave an effort on creating a data analysis via time series but I don't it is the right way to use it. Time series is usually being use in the prices of assets to determine their movements through time. If you want to determine if their is some kind of seasonability when it comes to new members registering in the forum you should have put BTC's prices as an additional data to determine if there is some kind of connection why there are peaks in registration every two years. Simply putting two data internal to the forum won't give you as much of a reason why those peaks are happening.
It's just a assumption without real data, but you are probably right.
The important thing is the level of increasing new posts, new users, new topics recent months when Bitcoin dropped.
From the past ( as shown in the chart), three indicators tend to tell with Bitcoin drops.
New users & new threads will definitely be increasing due to the recent price fall. This is unfortunately the perfect time for trolls/fudsters & genuine assholes to infect the entire forum with their absolute disease.