The point is that we're already down 90% and the probability of going down further decreases exponentially as we go down. You're just falling victim to the gambler's fallacy right now.
Agreed. It's an absolute classic noob move but it's also 100% understandable. It's how regular human minds work.
Unfortunately the people you're trading against know this and do not have regular human minds.
I completely agree however, we must take into consideration that many people invested last year, with a buy in much greater than ours. They could already be at a loss or close to a loss, which puts them at a very different mind set to us who, would need a far greater drop in price to be in their position.