Well, in a lot of ways, you are right, but that depends on how you approach trading anyway. If you approach it as a pure gambling then you will expect to see it act that way based on the decisions you will be making, but if you see it as something you have to do right, you sure will have a good plan to always do things right as long as you know what you are doing. We are all trying to anticipate movement in the market as retail traders, and the earlier you get used to that, and know how you can handle yourself as a trader with a good plan, the better for you as a person.