Of course, might look the same, in terms of the history, and that is fine, yet my question remains how much value you going to place in the future playing out the same way?  And, are you going to put your money on that?  Description is one thing, prediction is another thing, so my main point remains that there is danger to put too much weight on predictive value and even making dumb-ass assertion that you know how the future is going to play out, even if there are high odds of such.  Maybe you will assign 80% to such occurrence, and maybe someone else like me, might assign 45% to such occurrence.  In the end, I am not going to stop criticizing folks who make proclamations that seem to be assigning (or even implying such) too high probabilities to such scenarios, even if such scenarios actually play out or even if I also believe that such scenarios are the most likely of outcomes.