throwing random numbers is always easy. analyzing and giving a proper speculation is hard.
what you are doing here is making a random guess based on literary nothing and your topic is so far worthless because of that.
as for "preparing for the worst", you seem to be forgetting that this current price is after a huge 80% drop. this IS the worst and even if price by any luck goes any lower it still doesn't make the current price a bad entry point.
I am not swayed by such views, posts, and comments anymore. I have observed that many in this space got in with the mind of catching in on the fast money syndrome. So when that seems not to be happening, it is like expectations postponed.