If everyone thinks it will be the same as the last period it will.
Why? because people are all anticipating the same, placing the same trades and thus making the market react accordingly.
Since we have many inexperienced traders I do believe we will go to the moon again.
Self-fulfilling prophecy. There's a good chance that could be true. I for one don't see BTC following the same path as previously. I think the next high won't be as high and that the market won't go sideways for a whole year, there's too much development ongoing for that to occur.