I thought 7.5k was the top of the last bull run and it went to almost 20k
then I called 4k bottom here and it's already been to the low 3's.
At least for me, even building in huge changes I haven't been aggressive enough.
I think the next halving is the real start of the next bull run, but I am kind of at a loss on what to predict between now and then and how high that run may go.