if you are a long term holder does it really matter when the price of bitcoin begins to grow? You're going to be holding anyway and whatever growth bitcoin experiments is the same growth that you will get, so in my opinion it is better to concentrate ourselves on how to keep holding our coins than to predict accurately when the recovery will happen.
People here have turned being a hodler into a meme sort of thing. Everyone can hodl through an increase when prices keep going up, everyone is an expert when prices keep going up, but once the market is done pumping, it's over for the far majority of the people.
People don't know what it is to buy something based on fundamentals. The only reason they buy crypto is because it's either going up, or they believe it will do so, but have not one single clue about what that increase might be based on. We are dealing with gamblers here, and it will only get worse as more of these find their way to the crypto market.
The very fact that some shitcoins are worth billions in market cap is an indication of how stupid the general "investor" or "hodler" here is.
The percentage of investors holding their coins for the long term is probably going down as bitcoin becomes more popular and more people get in the market trying to get profits, and while as you say that process is inevitable at the same time it makes harder for those new to the market to find the correct answer to the question of how to get the most benefit out of their investment in bitcoin, because if everyone they see and know is speculating with the price they may feel that is the only way to get profits.