I am sure you made this post with detailed study. But honestly there is only one thing that will move this market upwards and thats trust of investors over the collapsed economy of bitcoin.
Most of the people lost their hope last year only and many of them backed out when they saw zero movement in the december month. Well, ideally it was supposed to be going up by the Christmas but nothing like that happened.
So surely things have changed a lot and real economy will come back when people actually make their contribution into it one more time.