Why do people place so much emphasis on the past? Bitcoin is a different thing and in a completely different place to where it was years ago. If you only assume that the past trend will always continue then you'll be mistaken.
but in reality, the trend is always repeated. every time we can see from the bitcoin chart. every time there is a fall, surely sooner or later there will be a pump on the market. so there's nothing wrong with hoping as in the past.