Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Asian Football Cup 2019 Discussion Thread
by
icalical
on 06/01/2019, 08:12:09 UTC
unexpected start with the host drawing with Bahrain , this actually kinda showed me that all the participants teams have chance and big teams' edge isn't that high so there may be some good chances taking underdogs and double chance

found any good outrights for Tourney winners yet Sy?


picking the winner is really hard in Asian , any team can win as long as they have the spirit just like what Iraq did in 2007 while their country was at war
so for the winner I have picked Syria X48 betfair exchange , because I know my team and these odds are just way too high for Syria especially that other bookies aren't offering that high odds for Syria so I kinda picked great odds and I may trade it later

I made few other outright bets but not about the winners
I picked Syria to win group B at X6.20 sportsbet , cause again I believe bookies are way underestimating Syria and in world cup qualification bookies underestimated syria as well in almost all of their matches but Syria ended up drawing against Iran and having 2 draws against Australia to lose in extra time in Australia
so these bets are kinda hard to cash , but I'm more than sure that these odds for Syria are way too +EV

I also have other two bets : Syria Top West Asian Football Federation Team X15.00 sportsbet and Qatar Top West Asian Football Federation Team X14.00 sportsbet as well

this as well is one of the craziest odds I found , odds are way too high for both Syria and Qatar
West Asian teams are : Saudi Arabia , UAE , Iraq , Syria , Qatar , Jordan , Lebanon , Palestine , Oman and Yemen
what really matters from these is the first 5 teams since it's really unlikely the other teams will have any chance in the competition
again bookies are underestimating both Syria and Qatar with these odds , Qatar invested billions of dollars in football for their next world cup and they are preparing their team for the upcoming world cup
with such kind of odds it's crazy and it's a must bet for me   

I am actually expect UAE vs Bahrain march to be draw, since Bahrain is quite strong team right now, but UAE is the Host. Picking Syria is a smart choice, they strong but have good odd. But I more likely to pick UAE or Iraq for the winner.

For the match today, Jordan vs Australia is to obvious, no offense. Then Thailand vs India, I saw some post favoured India, but I might have an unpopular opinoin that Thailand will make a surprise, they have a strong squad this year.