That would be a hard thing to tell for now, if you want to start comparing last year with this year, you have to realize these are basically two different scenarios entirely. However, it is the market, anything can still happen, but I usually prefer to use the trend for direction and not stick my mindset to what happened in the past. Sure, there is a likelihood we might go down lower, or consolidate for a while, but time will surely tell, and how we are able to use the trend to our advantage is what matters anyway, but if you want to consider all the Januaries from the beginning of time when bitcoin gets trade-able in the market, you will realize even your past assumption is wrong.