We're neither going up or down, we're just moving between the levels you spoke about. As more people begin to realize and act on those levels the band will become smaller and eventually it will burst one way or another, forcing us either towards 3k or 5k.
I agree with this, the price does not seem to be trending it is just ranging, and when the price is moving close to a certain level and not doing much that is the perfect moment for long term holders to buy bitcoin, but even if I think that is what we are seeing it seems some traders are predicting new lows during the next weeks, something which obviously I do not want to see but I cannot deny there is a chance that could happen.