Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
HairyMaclairy
on 13/01/2019, 02:36:09 UTC
Jbear

In your opinion, what are the odds that CSW is Satoshi?

I would be interested in you stating in clear terms what probability you consider this to be true?  I appreciate that certain things may be unknowable with present knowledge, but that is why we assign probabilities.  

So please tell us what is your probability that CSW is Satoshi.  

I dunno. Maybe one in twenty? In fifty?

Hard to place odds on something in which most of the variables are not available to be seen.

Ok.  So in broad brush strokes you would place the odds of CSW being Satoshi between 2 - 5%, which is “highly unlikely” in statistical terms.

Thank you that’s helpful