I'm trading on Bitmex and i can guaranty you after or right before the hardfork Ethereum is gonna dump hard.. We are trading long and sometimes short now, but there is a big chance that right after the hardfork hype investors are dumping there bags by going short.. No hype is no long position.. There are rumors that huge bulls will turn in bears and are going short right before the hardfork to fill there pockets with money. Ethereum can go to $50 after the hardfork. I hope it will not happen because i have also longterm investment on paperwallets.