All of these scenarios are completely unrealistic. It would be better to use gold for comparison or even silver and what the price would be if they were swapped for bitcoin as a financial reserve
You are thinking in bitcoin like an asset, but If you analyze it like a currency all scenarios are likely. All them are statics and math based.
You're forgeting one important, maybe the most important, part of the equasion.
People. People f*ck up even the most utopian ideas ever, no matter how perfect you make it.
Again, greeed. Repeat after me: Greeeeeeeeeeeeeeed.
It has moved almost every single bad move in the history of mankind and it will be the doom of us, in one shape or another.