Re: [ANN] BEAM | Mimblewimble | Private | Scalable | No ICO | No Pre Mine
Beam : Price forecast extrapolation according to the treasury supply for the 3 first years and the expectation of the VC investors
Treasury after 3 years: (1*20Beam + 2*10Beam) * 1440Block * 365days = 21024000 Beam
Treasury allocated to the private investors: 21024000 Beam * 35% = 7358'400 Beam
ROI expected from the VC after 3 years: x35 (between 20x & 50x according to the risk)
Coin Value after 3 years: $invested x35 / 7358'400 Beam
Assumption 1: $invested = 3000000$ --> Beam Value: 14$
Assumption 2, $invested = 6000000$ --> Beam Value: 28$
Assumption 3, $invested = 12000000$ --> Beam Value: 46$
Other approach:
Circulation supply after 3 year: 21024000 Beam
Market cap in 3 years: 800000000$, like Monero today
Beam Value: 38$
Please dont take it too seriously
Treasury after 3 years: (1*20Beam + 2*10Beam) * 1440Block * 365days = 21024000 Beam
Treasury allocated to the private investors: 21024000 Beam * 35% = 7358'400 Beam
ROI expected from the VC after 3 years: x35 (between 20x & 50x according to the risk)
Coin Value after 3 years: $invested x35 / 7358'400 Beam
Assumption 1: $invested = 3000000$ --> Beam Value: 14$
Assumption 2, $invested = 6000000$ --> Beam Value: 28$
Assumption 3, $invested = 12000000$ --> Beam Value: 46$
Other approach:
Circulation supply after 3 year: 21024000 Beam
Market cap in 3 years: 800000000$, like Monero today
Beam Value: 38$
Please dont take it too seriously
Sounds good, but is more a calculation for the "to the moon" fans.
The calculation lacks 2 main factors: (Daily Issuance) inflation and Max. Supply....
Of course its a best case scenario. 😃
Daily Issuance and inflation has been taken into account. Source: HERE
Max supply not important in this case: time frame = 3 years
As somebody infos about how much money was raised from the VC?
After looking into the linked source you gave i have a more complete picture on inflation and coin supply.
Your calculation is totally wrong mate:
Reason:
- You use the treasurey supply for a price calculation, this is just plain wrong.
- You use for the first 3 years 21024000 Beam, but that's just the treasury, you nowhere mention the by than circulating 105,120,000 Beam.
- With the above mentioned, for a price calculation always the by than circulating supply should be used to get a better picture, especially for whatever calculation.
I won't go even into further details as the approach is totally wrong and it doesn't make sense to correct something that is from the bottom wrong, lol.