If the SEC approves the ETF on the 45-day decision docket, since 500-1000x the current market capital is waiting to be invested by the investment community, that is, if they truly bite even after getting the green light, then it is possible. So if the ETF approved, then a slim 'maybe', but if the ETF is denied it would be absolutely impossible to reach by New Year's Day 2020.

I'm very interested in his crazy bet, both whether it will be true, and how he will handle it if it's not true.