Nobody will definitely get lucky. If you are not willing to put in the effort to find projects with strong fundamentals, you will keep losing. It is more difficult these days as there are so many. It didn't matter which one you picked in the old days, they just all went up.
There is no luck in these projects, only work, the better and better the product, the more it will attract new users to itself, it has always been and will be
it really all depends on the project itself and its presentation and work! But luck should be awarded to a person!