Nobody will definitely get lucky. If you are not willing to put in the effort to find projects with strong fundamentals, you will keep losing. It is more difficult these days as there are so many. It didn't matter which one you picked in the old days, they just all went up.
You're certainly right. Remember 2017. Whatever you put your money into, it made a profit. It's not gonna happen now. Now we need to carefully choose the project for investment.