we have already said a lot that cryptanalysts can not be trusted, they have long said that such a long fall should not be-and it lasts a long time
Because all these analysts and observers know exactly as much as we are ... You need to figure it out for yourself and make your own investment plans and strategies.
You're right. You need to study projects on your own, independently search for promising start-ups and make decisions for yourself whether to invest or not.
There will always be a choice for you, no matter how beautifully the project is described or technically it seemed ideal to you, only you decide whether you need it or not.