Yes, many will not survive, but we must understand that they were not created for profit, but in order to earn on us! The states have closed projects, but there are not many of them! Many will die, but the best will survive !!!
And of course most people do not know how to identify good projects, especially after the ico, I think if the project is good then it can be seen immediately, of course it is worth looking at the project team and then at other factors