Trading is primarily a psychological game about oneself. Learn to have calm, rationality and then things come by themselves.
You can do a perfect technical analysis, but if you don't have patience and you get anxious, everything becomes more difficult
You make it sound a bit more like gambling. I think that there is difference in both. Trading eventually depends on how much do you understand about the market and about the phases of investment and withdrawal. Patience is also something that helps you stay calm and make the best decision.
Try to keep your initial cost low and initial volume of coins high which means that be active in bear market. Technical analysis can help you as well.