Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Merits 1 from 1 user
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
Raja_MBZ
on 02/04/2019, 19:41:33 UTC
⭐ Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (1)
A wild guess: today is the last day to get bitcoin below $3900.

Yes.  The odds of the truth of that assertion are in the less than 25% arena.

So far so good:



Maybe the odds of going below $3,900 again became slightly better than what they were on March 25, but they have not changed by a lot.. I would not even put them above 45% and that 45% is a bit charitable.  You may end up being correct, regarding your guess, but I am not sure what that would be saying, besides you having had gotten lucky in your guess.  Do you find that valuable in how you live your life?  I certainly try to minimize gambling and guessing in how I live my life, but surely once in a while it is fun.. but that is it.. merely fun rather than something to attach much if any significance.

What are the odds of going below $3900 (again) now, @JJG? Grin



OTOH, some are REKT:

Lyft breaks below its IPO price ($72), now down over 20% from its opening day high.



Is this the calm after the storm now? I wouldn’t mind a period of 3-4 months in this range. Low volatility is good for bitcoin. Average Joe doesn’t want to buy when the price is up & down like a yoyo.

I’d be cool with low volatility until June/July or something before the next leg up to $ 6,000 or something.

Anybody agree?

I don't think that we're going to have low volatility in the short term. I've got a feeling that bitcoin is in the mood of making alts super-rekt and getting an increase in overall market dominance, by first dumping again (to somewhat like ~$4400) and then pumping again (to somewhat like ~$5100).