You are sure making a lot of assumptions that Bitcoin is going to keep appreciation more than the coinbase reward dropping off.
You also are refusing to read the research paper that proves your assumptions wrong.
Go ahead and read it and tell me what exact sentence is incorrect and where their math is wrong specifically.
again the paper mentions that a blocksize limit is needed t cause a fee war.
airlines dont always fill their seats. but they would never give away their first class seats for free
ever been on a train and seen the first class cabin nearly empty but the economy class crambed.. same thing
having only X seats doesnt mean they will always be filled
charging XX fee doesnt mean people will always be willing to pay
there is nothing forcing a pool to fill or empty a block. there is nothing forcing a pool to add tx's while risking the delay causing risk of losing the race
a train is not gonna wait at a station until the first class carriage is filled before travelling. they would prefer to travel ontime and not risk a 'late penalty'