Yes, it will pass $10,000, but I can't tell you exactly when lest I get droned. Never forget that BTC are constantly being destroyed as holders of them die, forget passwords, watch as their disk drives die, or whatever. I cannot quantity this but it's certain to be happening. As the number of users rises the rate at which coins die, never to be resurrected, will surpass the quantity created via mining. Therefore the total quantity of BTC will begin to decline.
You've obviously never heard of hardware wallets like trezor. Nobody will be using software wallets in 12-18 months time. Won't eliminate "bitcoin loss" completely but will go a long way to reducing it. Might like to check how it works:
http://www.bitcointrezor.com/faq/They will have several competitors in 2014. Everyone knows storing bitcoins on virus-infected PCs is a weakness of the current bitcoin ecosystem.
Those hardware wallets are cool of course, but why do you predict no one will be using software wallet 1 year later?