"If I'm right in the thesis, what do I get?"
"But on the other hand, if I am wrong, what is the maximum I lose?"
With these two bezels on your head, it's easy to size and risk your bet.
The risk is huge and so we must scale very well the amount we have to lose, not to fall into the fallacy of trying to solve life with a single shot.
To invest all in bitcoin is not a huge risk, in fact it will minimize the risk as compared to other cryptocurrency investment.
The maximum you will lose is "time", how? Let me explain
Bitcoin is the most reliable crypto ever that's why sooner or later bitcoin will recover its price after every dump, as like it's recovering price now.