Thank you, rosousa! Very good post. I am aware of that but forget a lot of time. I'll keep it as a reminder. 
The major take away you missing on your review is that trading isn´t about forecasting or being right or wrong. Trading is about formulating the possible scenarios and trade in the direction of the most likely scenario to happen. Trade with the odds in your side, will make you $ over time.
Most people have unrealistic expectations about trading systems/ forecasting systems. A trading approach that identify markets trending and enter on the direction of the trend only have to be right around 30% of the trades to make $. Socrates have a trend following approach to markets, so we should expect something between 30-50% winning trades depending on time frame you´re trading. Most people following Martin Armstrong have a misconception about that key statistic, they believe there´s GOD and higher than GOD itself there´s Martin Armstrong Socrates which can forecast markets with something near 80-100% hit rate. That don´t exist in financial markets, unless you´re able to travel throw time!
The major take away you missing on your review is that trading isn´t about forecasting or being right or wrong. Trading is about formulating the possible scenarios and trade in the direction of the most likely scenario to happen. Trade with the odds in your side, will make you $ over time.
Most people have unrealistic expectations about trading systems/ forecasting systems. A trading approach that identify markets trending and enter on the direction of the trend only have to be right around 30% of the trades to make $. Socrates have a trend following approach to markets, so we should expect something between 30-50% winning trades depending on time frame you´re trading. Most people following Martin Armstrong have a misconception about that key statistic, they believe there´s GOD and higher than GOD itself there´s Martin Armstrong Socrates which can forecast markets with something near 80-100% hit rate. That don´t exist in financial markets, unless you´re able to travel throw time!